Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.065919 0.071185 0.076501 0.082261 0.088320 0.094495 0.101259
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.056445 0.064137 0.072172 0.081160 0.090907 0.101131 0.112636
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.049745 0.059213 0.069409 0.081138 0.094196 0.108221 0.124362
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.044316 0.055091 0.067024 0.081104 0.097142 0.114728 0.135353
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.041611 0.053713 0.067446 0.083994 0.103205 0.124625 0.150129
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.038548 0.051608 0.066773 0.085413 0.107437 0.132370 0.162462
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.035772 0.049585 0.065980 0.086506 0.111151 0.139435 0.173989
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.032548 0.046753 0.063990 0.085971 0.112782 0.143965 0.182506
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.030548 0.045294 0.063541 0.087183 0.116411 0.150791 0.193699
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.027955 0.042882 0.061737 0.086578 0.117718 0.154770 0.201470
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026061 0.041253 0.060810 0.086964 0.120161 0.160062 0.210790
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024803 0.040386 0.060790 0.088440 0.123916 0.166932 0.222026
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024536 0.040906 0.062641 0.092415 0.130952 0.178010 0.238638
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021870 0.037889 0.059643 0.089961 0.129746 0.178865 0.242733
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020060 0.035980 0.058039 0.089253 0.130708 0.182376 0.250085
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018503 0.034339 0.056716 0.088843 0.131998 0.186265 0.257903
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018118 0.034438 0.057815 0.091714 0.137603 0.195656 0.272667
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017306 0.033823 0.057858 0.093109 0.141248 0.202561 0.284348
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.016466 0.033106 0.057708 0.094206 0.144482 0.208946 0.295400
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015208 0.031636 0.056389 0.093603 0.145389 0.212301 0.302598
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.014545 0.031094 0.056409 0.094870 0.148814 0.218933 0.314009
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.013433 0.029728 0.055125 0.094218 0.149579 0.222065 0.320923
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.012661 0.028888 0.054599 0.094622 0.151772 0.227066 0.330257